Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.002533 0.002689 0.002857 0.003051 0.003271 0.003515 0.003809
2025-04-20 0.002210 0.002405 0.002625 0.002895 0.003223 0.003615 0.004131
2025-04-27 0.002064 0.002291 0.002558 0.002900 0.003341 0.003907 0.004726
2025-05-04 0.001989 0.002246 0.002559 0.002979 0.003550 0.004340 0.005607
2025-05-11 0.001896 0.002168 0.002507 0.002977 0.003645 0.004628 0.006359
2025-05-18 0.001856 0.002149 0.002525 0.003065 0.003873 0.005152 0.007699
2025-05-25 0.001782 0.002081 0.002470 0.003044 0.003932 0.005416 0.008677
2025-06-01 0.001704 0.002002 0.002396 0.002985 0.003922 0.005555 0.009459
2025-06-08 0.001677 0.001988 0.002406 0.003051 0.004120 0.006119 0.011692
2025-06-15 0.001645 0.001965 0.002402 0.003092 0.004281 0.006656 0.014479
2025-06-22 0.001591 0.001908 0.002346 0.003047 0.004281 0.006851 0.016349
2025-06-29 0.001536 0.001849 0.002283 0.002985 0.004243 0.006949 0.018007
2025-07-06 0.001490 0.001801 0.002237 0.002953 0.004266 0.007230 0.021491
2025-07-13 0.001411 0.001704 0.002116 0.002789 0.004021 0.006783 0.019773
2025-07-20 0.001380 0.001675 0.002092 0.002787 0.004093 0.007186 0.025266
2025-07-27 0.001370 0.001674 0.002112 0.002857 0.004319 0.008113 0.044034
2025-08-03 0.001342 0.001647 0.002090 0.002855 0.004394 0.008637 0.073548
2025-08-10 0.001336 0.001651 0.002114 0.002936 0.004665 0.009998 11.125934
2025-08-17 0.001308 0.001620 0.002085 0.002916 0.004704 0.010532 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001274 0.001581 0.002038 0.002862 0.004653 0.010671 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001266 0.001580 0.002053 0.002923 0.004893 0.012351 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001254 0.001571 0.002055 0.002960 0.005085 0.014080 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001227 0.001539 0.002018 0.002919 0.005058 0.014499 NaN